2023-562

BET SLIPS:

Key horse: SMILING COLLECTOR (5.6x / 2nd)
First-choice supporting legs: ARIEL (6.8x / 5th), AFFIRM (3.4x / 4th)
Second-choice supporting legs: SUPER GOLDI (7.5x / 1st), CIRCUIT FIERY (21.0x / 3rd)

Betting strategy:
SMILING COLLECTOR with ARIEL, AFFIRM: quinella & place quinella @ $20
SMILING COLLECTOR with SUPER GOLDI, CIRCUIT FIERY: quinella @ $10
ARIEL with AFFIRM: quinella & place quinella @ $10
Total stake: $100
Dividends: $210


WHY:

The key horse decision was between SMILING COLLECTOR and ARIEL.
ARIEL is a pace-forward runner, but today is ridden by an apprentice without taking the available claim, which is a rather unusual piece of placement. For that reason, SMILING COLLECTOR is used as the key horse.

SUPER GOLDI and SUPER BONUS (20.0x / 10th) are both Mid-tier horses (Mid). However, SUPER GOLDI met trouble last start, only getting clear very late, so genuine improvement is expected here.

Among the remaining runners, one can choose from MAKE IT LOVELY (18.0x / 9th), CIRCUIT FIERY, and MISSION VOICE (19.0x / 7th). MISSION VOICE, however, is a jockey discard from a top rider, so its chances are viewed negatively.

Race Result:
https://racing.hkjc.com/racing/information/english/Racing/LocalResults.aspx?RaceDate=2024/04/07&Racecourse=ST&RaceNo=4