2022-530
Banker: SOLID CONTACT (4.5倍/第2名)
Top Selections: DROMBEG BANNER (28.0倍/第1名) BEAUTY MISSILE (5.4倍/第5名)
Secondary Selections: JUMBO LEGEND (7.4倍/第12名) MASTER HERO (14.0倍/第9名)
Betting Strategy:
SOLID CONTACT with DROMBEG BANNER and BEAUTY MISSILE: Win/Place Quinella @$20
SOLID CONTACT with JUMBO LEGEND and MASTER HERO: Win Quinella @$10
DROMBEG BANNER with BEAUTY MISSILE: Win/Place Quinella @$10
Total stake: $120
UNIVERSAL HORIZON (4.5倍/第3名) has already had its wide-trip early-season run removed,
but the Advantage Analysis still shows that its Class 4 performance is inferior to CIRCUIT MIGHTY (12.0倍/第7名), a two-time Class 4 winner this season.
CIRCUIT MIGHTY in turn is not as strong as BEAUTY MISSILE and SOLID CONTACT, so both UNIVERSAL HORIZON and CIRCUIT MIGHTY are categorized as Weak Tier runners.
JUMBO LEGEND has previously defeated the Weak Tier horse HAPPY DAILY (15.0倍/第4名), and also finished close to SOLID CONTACT.
Its Tier logically should be higher, but the original jockey, after riding it five times in a row, has chosen to give up the ride this time,
so it naturally cannot be treated as a key supporting leg.
Only by doing so is there room to land on DROMBEG BANNER, which once finished more than a length behind CIRCUIT MIGHTY.
Whether losing by just over a length is too generous an interpretation still requires more case studies before a firm conclusion can be drawn.
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